I think that all LMS platforms have already made the jump to working across different platforms and on different operating systems. Badges are fine but I don’t think that will drive education LMS platforms.
I think gamification will take longer than five years because that is a culture change as well as a development change. Five years ago I tried to teach a class on social skills for the entire middle school at Forsyth County’s virtual school iAchieve. I used the game Quest Atlantis. It’s an online role playing game that teaches many social skills to students 9-12. The students loved the game and made a lot of progress. My principal was in favor of it until over half of the parents withdrew their students from the class because they didn’t want them playing games on the computer instead of doing classwork.
I tried again using a gaming format with Stagecoach Island with high school students who were on a modified diploma. For math I was teaching money skills and received permission from my district to load the program at school and use it for my students. The program was successful at developing money skills but parents wanted to see worksheets and books that the students were learning from instead of games.
I think that ways to personalize and automating intervention will become very important as politicians are requiring more data that shows progress and improvement. This will require a way for teachers to share large amounts of resources that are tagged with levels and learning styles. This will be a culture change as well as a LMS requirement. Teachers should be able to access materials at many different levels so that they can easily provide materials for their students at different levels. This intervention should be available for the student who needs extra help as well as the student that is moving ahead quickly and needs more depth and breath to the content.
This type of personalization will be much easier using an online environment. I think that this will encourage the use of more online resources in the brick and mortar classroom also. I hope that this becomes a trend for future learning of all types instead of a fad that is picked up and dropped again.